預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots

開賽時間: 2026-10-04 17:02 UTC

最終賽果: Buffalo Bills 26–29 New England Patriots

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

59 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Buffalo Bills (主隊)

預測 73.53%1.36公平賠率
EV -1.47%
優勢 -1.10%
Kelly -4.32%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.34

博彩公司預測分布
70.79%73.31%73.55%75.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.181.291.291.3484.75%77.32%77.52%74.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值

New England Patriots (客隊)

預測 26.47%3.78公平賠率
EV +1.12%
優勢 +0.292%
Kelly +0.396%
成長率 +0.004%

假設最高賠率為 3.82

博彩公司預測分布
24.95%26.69%26.45%29.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.153.603.603.8231.75%27.79%27.78%26.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Buffalo Bills (主隊):73.53%;New England Patriots (客隊):26.47%。 對於「New England Patriots (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.78的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.82,對應+1.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (59 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.51%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +1.12%E +0.292%K +0.396%G +0.004%4.9%2026-10-04 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%EV +0.588%E +0.155%K +0.210%G +0.001%2.1%2026-10-04 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.588%E +0.155%K +0.210%G +0.001%3.8%2026-10-04 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 18:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 18:45
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-02 17:22
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:40
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:55
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:55
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.35%E -5.84%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.10%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -2.32%E -0.630%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.85%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 16:54
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.85%E -0.778%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 16:55
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.38%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 11:44
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.38%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 17:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 19:53
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 18:45
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 18:45
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 18:45
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:10
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 02:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 15:05
TAB🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -4.97%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.55%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.45%EV -5.77%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 16:59
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -1.47%E -1.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-04 16:05
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 16:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.94%E -2.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 17:00
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 18:40
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 16:13
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 17:24
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 73.06%EV -13.24%E -11.22%K -73.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.94%EV -15.29%E -4.78%K -6.95%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-03 18:41
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -16.62%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 16:34
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-10-03 23:05
Novig◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-10-04 16:55
BetOpenly◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.28%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.72%0.6%2026-10-04 16:59
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-10-04 17:00
Polymarket◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-10-04 15:59
ProphetX◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-10-04 17:00
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-10-04 17:00