Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iga Swiatek v Maja Chwalinska

2026-10-17 10:30 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Prediction 83.41%1.20fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -14.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.87%83.37%83.45%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.61%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maja Chwalinska (Visit)

Prediction 16.59%6.03fair odd
EV +7.86%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.112%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.63%16.55%19.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.565.506.5021.51%17.99%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Iga Swiatek (Local): 83.41%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 16.59%. For Maja Chwalinska (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.03. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +7.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.86%E +1.21%K +1.43%G +0.112%4.7%2026-10-16 14:05
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.22%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +3.54%E +0.568%K +0.676%G +0.024%3.0%2026-10-16 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.42%E -6.68%K -67.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +2.88%E +0.464%K +0.554%G +0.016%6.2%2026-10-16 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.24%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.61%EV +1.39%E +0.227%K +0.271%G +0.004%4.9%2026-10-16 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.390%E +0.064%K +0.077%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.390%E +0.064%K +0.077%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.439%E -0.073%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.439%E -0.073%K -0.088%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 21:49
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.76%E -0.648%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.76%E -0.648%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.76%E -0.648%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 21:25
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.59%E -0.798%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 18:05
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.59%E -0.798%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:12
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.59%E -0.798%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 21:24
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.59%E -0.798%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 15:15
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.42%E -6.68%K -67.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.59%E -0.798%K -0.966%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.42%E -6.68%K -67.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.59%E -0.798%K -0.966%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.42%E -0.950%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -6.25%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -7.08%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:08
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:15
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:45
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 18:50
picklebet_au🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.74%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 20:24
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -10.40%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -10.40%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 14:44
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -10.40%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 21:34
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.00%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.00%EV -11.56%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 22:00
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -12.05%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.88%E -2.45%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.88%E -2.45%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.03%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.03%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 18:04
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.92%E -4.31%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.03%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -7.42%E -6.68%K -67.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.03%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -7.42%E -6.68%K -67.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -18.69%E -3.81%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 21:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.87%EV -8.25%E -7.50%K -82.53%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.13%EV -22.84%E -4.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-16 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:15
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-10-16 22:10
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-10-16 22:15