Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Iga Swiatek v Maja Chwalinska

2026-10-17 10:30 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Iga Swiatek (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 83.37%1.20kurs godziwy
EV -2.46%
Przewaga -2.10%
Kelly -14.46%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
80.87%83.35%83.45%85.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.59%87.72%85.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Maja Chwalinska (Goście)

Prognoza 16.63%6.01kurs godziwy
EV +8.10%
Przewaga +1.25%
Kelly +1.47%
Wzrost +0.119%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.70%16.65%16.55%19.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.655.565.506.5021.51%17.98%18.18%15.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Iga Swiatek (Gospodarze): 83.37%; Maja Chwalinska (Goście): 16.63%. Dla wyniku Maja Chwalinska (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.01. 5 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 6.50, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +8.10%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.63%E -5.92%K -55.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.10%E +1.25%K +1.47%G +0.119%4.7%2026-10-16 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.11%E +0.502%K +0.598%G +0.019%6.2%2026-10-16 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.61%EV +1.62%E +0.264%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.9%2026-10-16 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.617%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001%4.2%2026-10-16 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.617%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001%4.2%2026-10-16 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.214%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.63%E -5.92%K -55.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.214%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 21:49
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.78%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 16.22%EV -0.381%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-16 22:20
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 18:05
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:12
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 15:15
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 14:45
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.20%E -0.913%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.20%E -0.913%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -6.04%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -6.87%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:08
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:25
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:45
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 18:50
picklebet_au🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.63%E -5.92%K -55.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 22:29
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.63%E -5.92%K -55.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 22:35
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 14:44
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.08%EV -2.46%E -2.10%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.92%EV -10.86%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.69%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 22:19
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.69%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.46%E -2.10%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 18:04
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -18.51%E -3.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.87%EV -8.29%E -7.54%K -82.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.13%EV -22.67%E -4.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-16 22:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:15
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-10-16 22:10
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-10-16 22:20