StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek v Maja Chwalinska

2026-10-17 10:30 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek (Heim)

Prognose 83.37%1.20faire Quote
EV -2.46%
Vorteil -2.10%
Kelly -14.46%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.87%83.35%83.45%85.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.59%87.72%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Maja Chwalinska (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.63%6.01faire Quote
EV +8.10%
Vorteil +1.25%
Kelly +1.47%
Wachstum +0.119%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.70%16.65%16.55%19.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.655.565.506.5021.51%17.98%18.18%15.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Iga Swiatek (Heim): 83.37%; Maja Chwalinska (Auswärts): 16.63%. Für Maja Chwalinska (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.01. 5 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 6.50 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +8.10%.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.63%E -5.92%K -55.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.10%E +1.25%K +1.47%G +0.119%4.7%2026-10-16 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.11%E +0.502%K +0.598%G +0.019%6.2%2026-10-16 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.39%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.61%EV +1.62%E +0.264%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.9%2026-10-16 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.617%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001%4.2%2026-10-16 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.617%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001%4.2%2026-10-16 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.214%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.63%E -5.92%K -55.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.214%E -0.036%K -0.043%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 21:49
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.78%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 16.22%EV -0.381%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-16 22:20
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 20:25
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 18:05
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:12
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.79%E -5.13%K -44.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 15:15
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.920%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 14:45
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.20%E -0.913%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.20%E -0.913%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -6.04%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -6.87%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:08
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.29%E -2.84%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:09
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:25
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:45
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:35
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 18:50
picklebet_au🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.63%E -5.92%K -55.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 22:29
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.63%E -5.92%K -55.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 22:35
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 14:44
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.08%EV -2.46%E -2.10%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.92%EV -10.86%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.69%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 22:19
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.13%E -3.59%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.69%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.46%E -2.10%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 18:04
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.96%E -4.35%K -35.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-16 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -7.46%E -6.72%K -67.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -18.51%E -3.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.87%EV -8.29%E -7.54%K -82.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.13%EV -22.67%E -4.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-16 22:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-10-16 22:15
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-10-16 22:10
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-10-16 22:20