Language:English
Zeynep Sonmez v Claire Liu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Prediction 62.50%1.60fair odd
EV +3.12%
Edge +1.89%
Kelly +4.80%
Growth +0.150%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.41%63.79%61.54%75.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.511.551.6580.00%66.13%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Claire Liu (Visit)
Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd
EV +49.26%
Edge +12.38%
Kelly +16.53%
Growth +8.14%
assuming max odds 3.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.33%36.21%38.46%42.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.542.383.9846.08%39.42%42.02%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 62.50%; Claire Liu (Visit): 37.50%. For Claire Liu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +49.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.67%EV -20.00%E -15.63%K -71.44%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV +49.26%E +12.38%K +16.53%G +8.14% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -19.38%E -15.02%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +40.63%E +10.84%K +14.78%G +6.00% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:47 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -18.75%E -14.43%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +36.88%E +10.11%K +13.92%G +5.13% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -21.88%E -17.50%K -87.51%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.43%EV +30.51%E +8.77%K +12.30%G +3.75% | 8.7% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -20.00%E -15.63%K -71.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +27.51%E +8.09%K +11.46%G +3.15% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +12.51%E +4.17%K +6.25%G +0.782% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +8.76%E +3.02%K +4.61%G +0.404% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +3.13%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -11.25%E -7.92%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +3.13%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.26%E +0.465%K +0.739%G +0.009% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -11.25%E -7.92%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV +0.131%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -8.87%E -3.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.88%E -4.62%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV +1.25%E +0.769%K +2.01%G +0.025% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.62%E -5.42%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -12.99%E -5.60%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.629%E -0.395%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.74%E -5.98%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.74%E -5.98%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +3.12%E +1.89%K +4.80%G +0.150% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -16.37%E -7.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +3.12%E +1.89%K +4.80%G +0.150% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -16.37%E -7.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV +1.87%E +1.15%K +2.97%G +0.056% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV +1.87%E +1.15%K +2.97%G +0.056% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +1.25%E +0.769%K +2.01%G +0.025% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +0.621%E +0.386%K +1.02%G +0.006% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV +0.621%E +0.386%K +1.02%G +0.006% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -18.62%E -8.58%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |