La scuola delle quote

Zeynep Sonmez v Claire Liu

Inizio: 2026-07-01 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Casa)

Previsione 62.50%1.60quota equa
EV +3.12%
Vantaggio +1.89%
Kelly +4.80%
Crescita +0.150%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.41%63.79%61.54%75.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.511.551.6580.00%66.13%64.52%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Claire Liu (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.50%2.67quota equa
EV +49.26%
Vantaggio +12.38%
Kelly +16.53%
Crescita +8.14%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.33%36.21%38.46%42.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.542.383.9846.08%39.42%42.02%25.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.67%EV -20.00%E -15.63%K -71.44%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV +49.26%E +12.38%K +16.53%G +8.14%3.3%2026-07-01 11:50
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -19.38%E -15.02%K -66.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +40.63%E +10.84%K +14.78%G +6.00%4.2%2026-07-01 11:47
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -18.75%E -14.43%K -62.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +36.88%E +10.11%K +13.92%G +5.13%4.3%2026-07-01 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -21.88%E -17.50%K -87.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.43%EV +30.51%E +8.77%K +12.30%G +3.75%8.7%2026-07-01 11:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -20.00%E -15.63%K -71.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +27.51%E +8.09%K +11.46%G +3.15%7.5%2026-07-01 11:50
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +12.51%E +4.17%K +6.25%G +0.782%4.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +8.76%E +3.02%K +4.61%G +0.404%8.0%2026-07-01 11:49
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +3.13%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056%5.8%2026-07-01 11:49
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -11.25%E -7.92%K -26.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +3.13%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056%6.8%2026-07-01 11:44
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.26%E +0.465%K +0.739%G +0.009%6.5%2026-07-01 11:49
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -11.25%E -7.92%K -26.79%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV +0.131%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 11:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 11:50
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -8.87%E -3.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:50
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.88%E -4.62%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:50
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 11:50
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 11:50
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV +1.25%E +0.769%K +2.01%G +0.025%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 11:50
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 11:50
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.62%E -5.42%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-01 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -12.99%E -5.60%K -9.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-01 11:50
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.629%E -0.395%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.74%E -5.98%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.74%E -5.98%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:50
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +3.12%E +1.89%K +4.80%G +0.150%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -16.37%E -7.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:50
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +3.12%E +1.89%K +4.80%G +0.150%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -16.37%E -7.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV +1.87%E +1.15%K +2.97%G +0.056%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV +1.87%E +1.15%K +2.97%G +0.056%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +1.25%E +0.769%K +2.01%G +0.025%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 11:50
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +0.621%E +0.386%K +1.02%G +0.006%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 11:50
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV +0.621%E +0.386%K +1.02%G +0.006%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -18.62%E -8.58%K -15.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 11:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-01 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-07-01 11:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-07-01 11:50
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%7.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%8.3%2026-07-01 11:50