L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Zeynep Sonmez v Claire Liu
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Prévision 62.50%1.60cote équitable
EV +3.12%
Avantage +1.89%
Kelly +4.80%
Croissance +0.150%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.41%63.79%61.54%75.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.511.551.6580.00%66.13%64.52%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Claire Liu (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.50%2.67cote équitable
EV +49.26%
Avantage +12.38%
Kelly +16.53%
Croissance +8.14%
avec la cote maximale 3.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.33%36.21%38.46%42.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.542.383.9846.08%39.42%42.02%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.67%EV -20.00%E -15.63%K -71.44%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV +49.26%E +12.38%K +16.53%G +8.14% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -19.38%E -15.02%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +40.63%E +10.84%K +14.78%G +6.00% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:47 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -18.75%E -14.43%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +36.88%E +10.11%K +13.92%G +5.13% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -21.88%E -17.50%K -87.51%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.43%EV +30.51%E +8.77%K +12.30%G +3.75% | 8.7% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -20.00%E -15.63%K -71.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +27.51%E +8.09%K +11.46%G +3.15% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +12.51%E +4.17%K +6.25%G +0.782% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +8.76%E +3.02%K +4.61%G +0.404% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +3.13%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -11.25%E -7.92%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +3.13%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:44 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.26%E +0.465%K +0.739%G +0.009% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -11.25%E -7.92%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV +0.131%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -8.87%E -3.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.88%E -4.62%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV +1.25%E +0.769%K +2.01%G +0.025% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.62%E -5.42%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -12.99%E -5.60%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.629%E -0.395%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.74%E -5.98%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.74%E -5.98%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +3.12%E +1.89%K +4.80%G +0.150% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -16.37%E -7.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +3.12%E +1.89%K +4.80%G +0.150% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -16.37%E -7.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV +1.87%E +1.15%K +2.97%G +0.056% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV +1.87%E +1.15%K +2.97%G +0.056% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +1.25%E +0.769%K +2.01%G +0.025% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +0.621%E +0.386%K +1.02%G +0.006% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV +0.621%E +0.386%K +1.02%G +0.006% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -18.62%E -8.58%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Novig | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |