La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zeynep Sonmez v Claire Liu
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Predicción 62.50%1.60momio equitativo
EV +3.12%
Ventaja +1.89%
Kelly +4.80%
Crecimiento +0.150%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.41%63.79%61.54%75.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.511.551.6580.00%66.13%64.52%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Claire Liu (Visitante)
Predicción 37.50%2.67momio equitativo
EV +49.26%
Ventaja +12.38%
Kelly +16.53%
Crecimiento +8.14%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.33%36.21%38.46%42.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.542.383.9846.08%39.42%42.02%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.67%EV -20.00%E -15.63%K -71.44%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV +49.26%E +12.38%K +16.53%G +8.14% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -19.38%E -15.02%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +40.63%E +10.84%K +14.78%G +6.00% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:47 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -18.75%E -14.43%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +36.88%E +10.11%K +13.92%G +5.13% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -21.88%E -17.50%K -87.51%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.43%EV +30.51%E +8.77%K +12.30%G +3.75% | 8.7% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -20.00%E -15.63%K -71.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +27.51%E +8.09%K +11.46%G +3.15% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.50%E -8.93%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +12.51%E +4.17%K +6.25%G +0.782% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -15.00%E -11.03%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +8.76%E +3.02%K +4.61%G +0.404% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +3.13%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -11.25%E -7.92%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +3.13%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:44 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.00%E -6.95%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.26%E +0.465%K +0.739%G +0.009% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -11.25%E -7.92%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV +0.131%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -8.87%E -3.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.50%E -1.60%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.88%E -4.62%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV +1.25%E +0.769%K +2.01%G +0.025% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.75%E -2.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.25%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.62%E -5.42%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -12.99%E -5.60%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.629%E -0.395%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.74%E -5.98%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.13%E -2.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.74%E -5.98%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -1.88%E -1.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -7.50%E -5.07%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -15.62%E -6.94%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +3.12%E +1.89%K +4.80%G +0.150% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -16.37%E -7.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +3.12%E +1.89%K +4.80%G +0.150% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -16.37%E -7.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV +1.87%E +1.15%K +2.97%G +0.056% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV +1.87%E +1.15%K +2.97%G +0.056% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +1.25%E +0.769%K +2.01%G +0.025% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +0.621%E +0.386%K +1.02%G +0.006% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -17.49%E -7.95%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV +0.621%E +0.386%K +1.02%G +0.006% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -18.62%E -8.58%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Novig | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |