Language:English
Taylor Townsend v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Townsend (Local)
Prediction 17.49%5.72fair odd
EV +22.43%
Edge +3.20%
Kelly +3.74%
Growth +0.839%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%17.61%17.04%20.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.395.507.0022.22%18.56%18.18%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 82.51%1.21fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -9.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.65%82.39%82.96%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1990.91%87.60%87.72%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Townsend (Local): 17.49%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 82.51%. For Taylor Townsend (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.72. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +22.43%E +3.20%K +3.74%G +0.839% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.24%E -8.40%K -92.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:37 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +1.45%E +0.249%K +0.301%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:32 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.81%EV -0.479%E -0.084%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.19%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.93%E -0.527%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:37 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV -4.85%E -0.892%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.30%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV -6.43%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:37 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -11.85%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -13.42%E -2.71%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.50%EV -14.82%E -3.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.50%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -15.17%E -3.13%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -1.81%E -1.52%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.81%E -1.52%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -17.79%E -3.79%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -20.42%E -4.49%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.29%E -4.73%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.29%E -4.73%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.07% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.93% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |