La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Taylor Townsend v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Townsend (Local)
Predicción 17.49%5.72momio equitativo
EV +22.43%
Ventaja +3.20%
Kelly +3.74%
Crecimiento +0.839%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.58%17.61%17.04%20.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.395.507.0022.22%18.56%18.18%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 82.51%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -9.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.65%82.39%82.96%86.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1990.91%87.60%87.72%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +22.43%E +3.20%K +3.74%G +0.839% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.24%E -8.40%K -92.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:37 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| PlayUp | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:37 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| ReBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +1.45%E +0.249%K +0.301%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| BetRivers | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:30 |
| BetAnything | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:30 |
| BetUS | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:32 |
| FanDuel | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| DraftKings | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.81%EV -0.479%E -0.084%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.19%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| 1xBet | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.93%E -0.527%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:31 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:37 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:31 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:29 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| betPARX | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Caesars | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| GTbets | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV -4.85%E -0.892%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.30%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| TABtouch | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Bally Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV -6.43%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 12:37 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 12:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| NordicBet | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -11.85%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Coolbet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -13.42%E -2.71%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| LeoVegas | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Fliff | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.50%EV -14.82%E -3.04%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.50%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -15.17%E -3.13%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -1.81%E -1.52%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.81%E -1.52%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -17.79%E -3.79%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betsson | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -20.42%E -4.49%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.29%E -4.73%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.29%E -4.73%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 12:39 |
| Matchbook | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Novig | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.07% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.93% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| ProphetX | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 12:40 |