L’École des cotes

Taylor Townsend v Iga Swiatek

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Prévision 17.49%5.72cote équitable
EV +22.43%
Avantage +3.20%
Kelly +3.74%
Croissance +0.839%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%17.61%17.04%20.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.395.507.0022.22%18.56%18.18%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)

Prévision 82.51%1.21cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -9.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.65%82.39%82.96%86.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.141.1990.91%87.60%87.72%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +22.43%E +3.20%K +3.74%G +0.839%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.24%E -8.40%K -92.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Dabble (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:39
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:37
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:40
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:39
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:39
ReBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +1.45%E +0.249%K +0.301%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:29
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:30
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:30
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:32
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:39
NetBet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:33
DraftKings5.69I 17.57%NM 16.81%EV -0.479%E -0.084%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.19%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:39
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.93%E -0.527%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:33
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:31
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:37
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:31
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:33
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:29
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:40
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:40
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 12:38
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 12:39
GTbets5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV -4.85%E -0.892%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.30%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:33
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:33
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:33
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:39
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV -6.43%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:37
BetOnline.ag5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 12:39
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 12:39
MyBookie.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:38
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:33
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 12:39
NordicBet5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -11.85%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Coolbet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -13.42%E -2.71%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:40
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 12:39
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 12:39
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Pinnacle4.87I 20.53%NM 19.50%EV -14.82%E -3.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.50%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:40
Fanatics4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -15.17%E -3.13%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -1.81%E -1.52%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.81%E -1.52%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -17.79%E -3.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 12:39
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -20.42%E -4.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.29%E -4.73%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.29%E -4.73%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%0.1%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Matchbook7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-06-30 12:40
Novig6.06I 16.50%NM 16.07%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.93%2.7%2026-06-30 12:40
ProphetX7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%3.2%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%4.1%2026-06-30 12:40