مدرسة الاحتمالات

Taylor Townsend v Iga Swiatek

البداية: 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Taylor Townsend (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.49%5.72السعر العادل
EV +22.43%
الأفضلية +3.20%
Kelly +3.74%
النمو +0.839%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.58%17.61%17.04%20.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.395.507.0022.22%18.56%18.18%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Iga Swiatek (الضيف)

التنبؤ 82.51%1.21السعر العادل
EV -1.81%
الأفضلية -1.52%
Kelly -9.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
79.65%82.39%82.96%86.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.141.141.1990.91%87.60%87.72%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +22.43%E +3.20%K +3.74%G +0.839%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.24%E -8.40%K -92.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Dabble (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:39
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:37
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:40
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:39
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.94%E +0.824%K +0.989%G +0.049%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:39
ReBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +1.45%E +0.249%K +0.301%G +0.004%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 12:29
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:30
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:30
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.571%E +0.099%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:32
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:39
NetBet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:33
DraftKings5.69I 17.57%NM 16.81%EV -0.479%E -0.084%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.19%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:39
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.93%E -0.527%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 12:33
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:31
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:37
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:31
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:33
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:29
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:40
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 12:39
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:40
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 12:38
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.80%E -0.691%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 12:39
GTbets5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV -4.85%E -0.892%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.30%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 12:33
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:33
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:33
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:39
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.55%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 12:39
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV -6.43%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 12:37
BetOnline.ag5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 12:39
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 12:39
MyBookie.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:38
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 12:33
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -8.17%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -8.41%E -7.58%K -76.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 12:39
NordicBet5.04I 19.84%NM 18.31%EV -11.85%E -2.35%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.69%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 12:39
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Coolbet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -13.42%E -2.71%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:40
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 12:39
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.94%E -5.21%K -42.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 12:39
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.76%E -5.99%K -52.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Pinnacle4.87I 20.53%NM 19.50%EV -14.82%E -3.04%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.50%EV -2.64%E -2.24%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:40
Fanatics4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -15.17%E -3.13%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -1.81%E -1.52%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.81%E -1.52%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.46%E -2.96%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 12:39
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -17.79%E -3.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.59%E -6.78%K -63.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 12:39
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -20.42%E -4.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -4.29%E -3.70%K -26.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.29%E -4.73%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 12:39
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.29%E -4.73%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.11%E -4.45%K -34.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 12:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%0.1%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-06-30 12:39
Matchbook7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-06-30 12:40
Novig6.06I 16.50%NM 16.07%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.93%2.7%2026-06-30 12:40
ProphetX7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%3.2%2026-06-30 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%4.1%2026-06-30 12:40