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Sorana Cirstea v Sara Bejlek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prediction 74.10%1.35fair odd
EV +0.781%
Edge +0.575%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.50%74.04%74.04%77.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.271.3683.33%78.81%78.74%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sara Bejlek (Visit)
Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV +8.76%
Edge +2.09%
Kelly +2.74%
Growth +0.240%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%25.96%25.96%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.653.654.2030.77%27.40%27.40%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 74.10%; Sara Bejlek (Visit): 25.90%. For Sara Bejlek (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -11.08%E -9.23%K -55.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +8.76%E +2.09%K +2.74%G +0.240% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV +3.84%E +0.958%K +1.28%G +0.049% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:47 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.994%E +0.255%K +0.343%G +0.003% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV +0.735%E +0.189%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -6.26%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -6.26%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.85%E -7.20%K -38.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.18%E -1.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.44%E -1.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.21%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -14.03%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.781%E +0.575%K +2.17%G +0.017% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -15.84%E -4.87%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.84%E -4.87%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 16:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |