La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sorana Cirstea v Sara Bejlek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Predicción 74.10%1.35momio equitativo
EV +0.781%
Ventaja +0.575%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.50%74.04%74.04%77.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.271.3683.33%78.81%78.74%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sara Bejlek (Visitante)
Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV +8.76%
Ventaja +2.09%
Kelly +2.74%
Crecimiento +0.240%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%25.96%25.96%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.653.654.2030.77%27.40%27.40%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -11.08%E -9.23%K -55.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +8.76%E +2.09%K +2.74%G +0.240% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV +3.84%E +0.958%K +1.28%G +0.049% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:47 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.994%E +0.255%K +0.343%G +0.003% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV +0.735%E +0.189%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -6.26%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -6.26%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.85%E -7.20%K -38.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:48 |
| Fliff | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.18%E -1.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.44%E -1.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.21%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -14.03%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:48 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.781%E +0.575%K +2.17%G +0.017% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -15.84%E -4.87%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.84%E -4.87%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 16:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 16:50 |