مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sorana Cirstea v Sara Bejlek

البداية: 2026-06-30 16:53 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.10%1.35السعر العادل
EV +0.781%
الأفضلية +0.575%
Kelly +2.17%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.50%74.04%74.04%77.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.271.271.3683.33%78.81%78.74%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sara Bejlek (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.90%3.86السعر العادل
EV +8.76%
الأفضلية +2.09%
Kelly +2.74%
النمو +0.240%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.22%25.96%25.96%29.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.653.654.2030.77%27.40%27.40%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -11.08%E -9.23%K -55.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +8.76%E +2.09%K +2.74%G +0.240%7.1%2026-06-30 16:50
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV +3.84%E +0.958%K +1.28%G +0.049%3.7%2026-06-30 16:10
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%5.0%2026-06-30 16:47
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%5.0%2026-06-30 16:50
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%7.0%2026-06-30 16:50
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.994%E +0.255%K +0.343%G +0.003%7.6%2026-06-30 16:49
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV +0.735%E +0.189%K +0.254%G +0.002%5.1%2026-06-30 16:49
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:50
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.300%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:49
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:08
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:49
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:09
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:50
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:50
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:09
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:10
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:50
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:50
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:50
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 16:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 16:49
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:29
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:49
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -6.26%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 16:50
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -6.26%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 16:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:30
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:45
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.85%E -7.20%K -38.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 16:49
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:48
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 16:49
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.18%E -1.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 16:08
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 16:49
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:50
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:29
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:49
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:29
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:40
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:49
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 16:50
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.92%E -2.23%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.66%E -2.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:49
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 16:50
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -1.44%E -1.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -12.21%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.33%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -14.03%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:48
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +0.781%E +0.575%K +2.17%G +0.017%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -15.84%E -4.87%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 16:49
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.41%E -3.42%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.84%E -4.87%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 16:48
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-30 16:50
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-30 16:50
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-06-30 16:50
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69%3.5%2026-06-30 16:50