赔率学院

Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova

开赛时间: 2026-07-04 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Sorana Cirstea (主队)

预测 64.19%1.56公平赔率
EV +15.54%
优势 +8.64%
Kelly +19.43%
增长率 +3.02%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.00%63.63%64.01%69.51%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.331.461.441.8075.19%68.69%69.44%55.56%MIN均值中位数MAX

Linda Noskova (客队)

预测 35.81%2.79公平赔率
EV +11.01%
优势 +3.55%
Kelly +5.24%
增长率 +0.577%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.49%36.37%35.99%48.00%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.952.642.703.1051.28%37.90%37.04%32.26%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill⚠ 不合理2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +60.48%E +24.19%K +40.32%G +24.38%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -45.21%E -29.55%K -85.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 14:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +15.54%E +8.64%K +19.43%G +3.02%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -30.17%E -15.47%K -31.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 15:23
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +2.71%E +1.69%K +4.51%G +0.122%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -19.43%E -8.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +0.780%E +0.497%K +1.37%G +0.011%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -17.64%E -7.67%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -0.504%E -0.325%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -9.05%E -3.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 15:15
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.15%E -0.744%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:24
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:24
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -4.36%E -2.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 15:25
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%4.1%2026-07-04 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:25
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 15:25
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%5.0%2026-07-04 15:25
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:25
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:25
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.265%E +0.095%K +0.147%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:25
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.85%E +1.33%K +2.02%G +0.078%5.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:25
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -12.06%E -8.80%K -32.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +11.01%E +3.55%K +5.24%G +0.577%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.07%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.93%EV -0.809%E -0.292%K -0.457%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -13.34%E -9.88%K -38.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%9.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -14.63%E -11.00%K -44.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +7.43%E +2.48%K +3.71%G +0.276%8.5%2026-07-04 15:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-07-04 15:25
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-07-04 15:25
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.25%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%3.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-07-04 15:25