The School of Odds

Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova

Matchstart: 2026-07-04 15:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Hemma)

Prognos 64.19%1.56rättvist odds
EV +15.54%
Fördel +8.64%
Kelly +19.43%
Tillväxt +3.02%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.00%63.63%64.01%69.51%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.331.461.441.8075.19%68.69%69.44%55.56%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Linda Noskova (Borta)

Prognos 35.81%2.79rättvist odds
EV +11.01%
Fördel +3.55%
Kelly +5.24%
Tillväxt +0.577%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.49%36.37%35.99%48.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.952.642.703.1051.28%37.90%37.04%32.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
William Hill⚠ orimligt2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +60.48%E +24.19%K +40.32%G +24.38%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -45.21%E -29.55%K -85.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 14:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +15.54%E +8.64%K +19.43%G +3.02%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -30.17%E -15.47%K -31.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 15:23
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +2.71%E +1.69%K +4.51%G +0.122%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -19.43%E -8.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +0.780%E +0.497%K +1.37%G +0.011%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -17.64%E -7.67%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -0.504%E -0.325%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -9.05%E -3.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 15:15
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.15%E -0.744%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:24
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:24
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -4.36%E -2.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 15:25
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%4.1%2026-07-04 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:25
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 15:25
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%5.0%2026-07-04 15:25
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:25
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:25
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.265%E +0.095%K +0.147%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:25
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.85%E +1.33%K +2.02%G +0.078%5.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:25
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -12.06%E -8.80%K -32.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +11.01%E +3.55%K +5.24%G +0.577%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.07%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.93%EV -0.809%E -0.292%K -0.457%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -13.34%E -9.88%K -38.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%9.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -14.63%E -11.00%K -44.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +7.43%E +2.48%K +3.71%G +0.276%8.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-07-04 15:25
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-07-04 15:25
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.25%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%3.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-07-04 15:25