Szkoła Kursów

Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova

Początek: 2026-07-04 15:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 64.19%1.56kurs godziwy
EV +15.54%
Przewaga +8.64%
Kelly +19.43%
Wzrost +3.02%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.00%63.63%64.01%69.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.331.461.441.8075.19%68.69%69.44%55.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Linda Noskova (Goście)

Prognoza 35.81%2.79kurs godziwy
EV +11.01%
Przewaga +3.55%
Kelly +5.24%
Wzrost +0.577%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.49%36.37%35.99%48.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.642.703.1051.28%37.90%37.04%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
William Hill⚠ niewiarygodny2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +60.48%E +24.19%K +40.32%G +24.38%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -45.21%E -29.55%K -85.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 14:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +15.54%E +8.64%K +19.43%G +3.02%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -30.17%E -15.47%K -31.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 15:23
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +2.71%E +1.69%K +4.51%G +0.122%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -19.43%E -8.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +0.780%E +0.497%K +1.37%G +0.011%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -17.64%E -7.67%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -0.504%E -0.325%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -9.05%E -3.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 15:15
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.15%E -0.744%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:24
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:24
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -4.36%E -2.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 15:25
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%4.1%2026-07-04 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:25
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 15:25
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%5.0%2026-07-04 15:25
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:25
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:25
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.265%E +0.095%K +0.147%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:25
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.85%E +1.33%K +2.02%G +0.078%5.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:25
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -12.06%E -8.80%K -32.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +11.01%E +3.55%K +5.24%G +0.577%5.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.07%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.93%EV -0.809%E -0.292%K -0.457%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 15:25
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -13.34%E -9.88%K -38.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023%9.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -14.63%E -11.00%K -44.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +7.43%E +2.48%K +3.71%G +0.276%8.5%2026-07-04 15:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-04 15:25
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-07-04 15:25
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-07-04 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-07-04 15:25
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 69.25%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%3.9%2026-07-04 15:25
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-07-04 15:25