La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Predicción 64.19%1.56momio equitativo
EV +15.54%
Ventaja +8.64%
Kelly +19.43%
Crecimiento +3.02%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%63.63%64.01%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.461.441.8075.19%68.69%69.44%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Linda Noskova (Visitante)
Predicción 35.81%2.79momio equitativo
EV +11.01%
Ventaja +3.55%
Kelly +5.24%
Crecimiento +0.577%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%36.37%35.99%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.642.703.1051.28%37.90%37.04%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill⚠ inverosímil | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +60.48%E +24.19%K +40.32%G +24.38% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -45.21%E -29.55%K -85.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +15.54%E +8.64%K +19.43%G +3.02% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -30.17%E -15.47%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 15:23 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +2.71%E +1.69%K +4.51%G +0.122% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -19.43%E -8.64%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +0.780%E +0.497%K +1.37%G +0.011% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -17.64%E -7.67%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -0.504%E -0.325%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -9.05%E -3.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 15:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.15%E -0.744%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:24 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:24 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -4.36%E -2.92%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Unibet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.265%E +0.095%K +0.147%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.85%E +1.33%K +2.02%G +0.078% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -12.06%E -8.80%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +11.01%E +3.55%K +5.24%G +0.577% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.07%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.93%EV -0.809%E -0.292%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Fliff | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -13.34%E -9.88%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -14.63%E -11.00%K -44.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +7.43%E +2.48%K +3.71%G +0.276% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.25% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |