L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sorana Cirstea v Linda Noskova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prévision 64.19%1.56cote équitable
EV +15.54%
Avantage +8.64%
Kelly +19.43%
Croissance +3.02%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%63.63%64.01%69.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.461.441.8075.19%68.69%69.44%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Linda Noskova (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.81%2.79cote équitable
EV +11.01%
Avantage +3.55%
Kelly +5.24%
Croissance +0.577%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%36.37%35.99%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.642.703.1051.28%37.90%37.04%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill⚠ invraisemblable | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +60.48%E +24.19%K +40.32%G +24.38% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -45.21%E -29.55%K -85.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +15.54%E +8.64%K +19.43%G +3.02% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -30.17%E -15.47%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 15:23 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +2.71%E +1.69%K +4.51%G +0.122% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -19.43%E -8.64%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +0.780%E +0.497%K +1.37%G +0.011% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -17.64%E -7.67%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -0.504%E -0.325%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -9.05%E -3.56%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 15:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.15%E -0.744%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:24 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:24 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.71%E -2.48%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -4.36%E -2.92%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -6.28%E -4.30%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -9.76%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -14.06%E -5.86%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Unibet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.265%E +0.095%K +0.147%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.85%E -6.23%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.85%E +1.33%K +2.02%G +0.078% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.53%E -0.555%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.13%E -7.24%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -12.06%E -8.80%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +11.01%E +3.55%K +5.24%G +0.577% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.07%EV -12.70%E -9.34%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.93%EV -0.809%E -0.292%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Fliff | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -13.34%E -9.88%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV +2.06%E +0.721%K +1.11%G +0.023% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -14.63%E -11.00%K -44.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +7.43%E +2.48%K +3.71%G +0.276% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.25% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |