The School of OddsMarta Kostyuk v Jasmine Paolini
Head to Head
Option 1: Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Odds
1.3574.07%Min
1.3772.76%Mean
1.3772.99%Median
1.4270.42%Max
Consensus probabilities
67.44%1.483Min
70.50%1.418Max
69.03%1.449Mean
69.00%1.449Median
69.03%1.449IQM
69.08%1.447Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.42 under the IQM model: 69.03%
EV -1.98%Edge -1.39%Kelly -4.71%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Jasmine Paolini (Visit)
Odds
2.9034.48%Min
3.0432.90%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.2530.77%Max
Consensus probabilities
29.50%3.390Min
32.56%3.071Max
30.97%3.228Mean
31.00%3.226Median
30.97%3.229IQM
30.92%3.235Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.25 under the IQM model: 30.97%
EV +0.650%Edge +0.200%Kelly +0.289%Growth +0.002%
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Marta Kostyuk (Local) | Jasmine Paolini (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43% NM 69.89%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 30.11%EV +0.650% E +0.200% K +0.289% G +0.002% | 2.2% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV +0.650% E +0.200% K +0.289% G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46% NM 69.87%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 30.13%EV -0.898% E -0.281% K -0.408% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 12:15 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -0.898% E -0.281% K -0.408% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 17:04 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -0.898% E -0.281% K -0.408% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42% NM 69.13%EV -1.98% E -1.39% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45% NM 30.87%EV -1.52% E -0.477% K -0.696% G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-07 16:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 69.23%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 30.77%EV -2.45% E -0.777% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-07 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94% NM 69.38%EV -4.05% E -2.91% K -10.38% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 30.62%EV -2.45% E -0.777% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99% NM 69.69%EV -5.43% E -3.96% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 30.31%EV -2.45% E -0.777% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94% NM 69.18%EV -4.05% E -2.91% K -10.38% G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05% NM 30.82%EV -3.38% E -1.08% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.64%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05% NM 30.36%EV -3.38% E -1.08% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.89%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 31.11%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-07 16:34 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94% NM 69.04%EV -4.05% E -2.91% K -10.38% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.96%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46% NM 69.20%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.80%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 14:40 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 15:00 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07% NM 69.66%EV -6.81% E -5.04% K -19.45% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.34%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07% NM 69.66%EV -6.81% E -5.04% K -19.45% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.34%EV -4.00% E -1.29% K -1.90% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 69.00%EV -5.43% E -3.96% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.00%EV -5.54% E -1.82% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 69.00%EV -5.43% E -3.96% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.00%EV -5.54% E -1.82% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.37I 72.99% NM 69.00%EV -5.43% E -3.96% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.00%EV -5.54% E -1.82% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 69.00%EV -5.43% E -3.96% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.00%EV -5.54% E -1.82% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 69.00%EV -5.43% E -3.96% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.00%EV -5.54% E -1.82% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.16%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 30.84%EV -5.54% E -1.82% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.37I 72.99% NM 68.93%EV -5.43% E -3.96% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89% NM 31.07%EV -5.85% E -1.93% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Betsson | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.09%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89% NM 30.91%EV -5.85% E -1.93% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.09%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89% NM 30.91%EV -5.85% E -1.93% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 05:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 02:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:53 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 09:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 68.65%EV -5.43% E -3.96% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.35%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 05:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 06:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 17:00 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 14:40 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -7.09% E -2.36% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.13%EV -4.74% E -3.43% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.87%EV -8.64% E -2.93% K -4.43% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 09:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07% NM 68.60%EV -6.81% E -5.04% K -19.45% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.40%EV -8.64% E -2.93% K -4.43% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -10.19% E -3.51% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -10.19% E -3.51% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -10.19% E -3.51% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 02:09 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -3.36% E -2.40% K -8.39% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -10.19% E -3.51% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.08%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 31.92%EV -10.19% E -3.51% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.08%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 31.92%EV -10.19% E -3.51% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 02:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.08%EV -6.12% E -4.50% K -17.00% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 31.92%EV -10.19% E -3.51% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Marta Kostyuk (Local) | Jasmine Paolini (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42% NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-07 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-07 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-07-07 17:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42% NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 14:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43% NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-07-07 15:10 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92% NM 69.21% | 3.17I 31.55% NM 30.79% | 2.5% | 2026-07-07 14:40 |