The School of OddsLanguage:English
Marta Kostyuk v Jasmine Paolini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Prediction 69.15%1.45fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.784%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.99%68.81%70.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4375.76%73.36%73.53%69.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Jasmine Paolini (Visit)
Prediction 30.85%3.24fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +0.551%
Kelly +0.790%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%31.01%31.19%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.32%32.26%30.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +1.82%E +0.551%K +0.790%G +0.014% | 3.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.82%E +0.551%K +0.790%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV +1.20%E +0.366%K +0.527%G +0.006% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 12:10 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 12:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 12:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 12:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -0.342%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 12:24 |
| ReBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 12:19 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 12:20 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 11:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 11:50 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 11:50 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 11:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.73%E -6.61%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-08 12:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:32 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 12:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -1.12%E -0.784%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -11.45%E -3.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-08 12:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |