La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marta Kostyuk v Jasmine Paolini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Predicción 69.15%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.784%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%68.99%68.81%70.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4375.76%73.36%73.53%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jasmine Paolini (Visitante)
Predicción 30.85%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.82%
Ventaja +0.551%
Kelly +0.790%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.18%31.01%31.19%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.32%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +1.82%E +0.551%K +0.790%G +0.014% | 3.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.82%E +0.551%K +0.790%G +0.014% | 3.8% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV +1.20%E +0.366%K +0.527%G +0.006% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 12:10 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 12:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 12:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 12:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -0.342%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 12:24 |
| ReBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 12:19 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 12:20 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 11:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 11:50 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 11:50 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 11:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:25 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.73%E -6.61%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-08 12:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 12:32 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-08 12:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -1.12%E -0.784%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -11.45%E -3.99%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-08 12:33 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |