L’École des cotes

Marta Kostyuk v Jasmine Paolini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 12:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 69.15%1.45cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.784%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%68.99%68.81%70.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.361.361.4375.76%73.36%73.53%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jasmine Paolini (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.85%3.24cote équitable
EV +1.82%
Avantage +0.551%
Kelly +0.790%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.18%31.01%31.19%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.32%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +1.82%E +0.551%K +0.790%G +0.014%3.3%2026-07-08 12:35
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.82%E +0.551%K +0.790%G +0.014%3.8%2026-07-08 12:35
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV +1.20%E +0.366%K +0.527%G +0.006%2.4%2026-07-08 12:10
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 12:14
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 12:15
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 12:19
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -0.342%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 12:24
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 12:25
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:34
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:25
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:30
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 12:35
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:19
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 12:35
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 12:35
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 17:05
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 12:20
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 11:35
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:25
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 12:25
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 11:50
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 11:50
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 11:55
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:35
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:35
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:25
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 12:35
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 12:29
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 12:35
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 09:10
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.73%E -6.61%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-08 12:34
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:35
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:34
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:32
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:15
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 12:35
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 12:35
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 12:34
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -1.12%E -0.784%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -11.45%E -3.99%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 12:35
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 12:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-07-08 12:35
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89%0.5%2026-07-08 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-08 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-08 12:35
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-08 12:35
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-07-08 12:35
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-08 12:35