مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marta Kostyuk v Jasmine Paolini

البداية: 2026-07-08 12:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marta Kostyuk (المضيف)

التنبؤ 69.15%1.45السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.784%
Kelly -2.61%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.67%68.99%68.81%70.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.361.361.4375.76%73.36%73.53%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jasmine Paolini (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.85%3.24السعر العادل
EV +1.82%
الأفضلية +0.551%
Kelly +0.790%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.18%31.01%31.19%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.32%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +1.82%E +0.551%K +0.790%G +0.014%3.3%2026-07-08 12:35
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.82%E +0.551%K +0.790%G +0.014%3.8%2026-07-08 12:35
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV +1.20%E +0.366%K +0.527%G +0.006%2.4%2026-07-08 12:10
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 12:14
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 12:15
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 12:19
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.275%E +0.085%K +0.122%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -0.342%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 12:24
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 12:25
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:34
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:25
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.27%E -0.396%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:30
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 12:35
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.81%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 12:19
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 12:35
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.98%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 12:35
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 17:05
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 12:20
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 11:35
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:25
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 12:25
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 11:50
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 11:50
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 11:55
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:35
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:35
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:25
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:35
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.34%E -5.48%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 12:35
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 12:29
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 12:35
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 09:10
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.73%E -6.61%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-08 12:34
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:35
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:34
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 12:32
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:15
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.65%E -4.93%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 12:35
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 12:35
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 12:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 12:34
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -1.12%E -0.784%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -11.45%E -3.99%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 12:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.20%E -2.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 12:35
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.96%E -4.38%K -16.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 12:33
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-07-08 12:35
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89%0.5%2026-07-08 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-08 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-08 12:35
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-08 12:35
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-07-08 12:35
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-08 12:35