Language:English
Kayla Day v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kayla Day (Local)
Prediction 10.93%9.15fair odd
EV +9.29%
Edge +0.929%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.42%11.06%10.95%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.518.5010.0014.29%11.75%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 89.07%1.12fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -32.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%88.94%89.05%90.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.28%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kayla Day (Local): 10.93%; Madison Keys (Visit): 89.07%. For Kayla Day (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.15. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +9.29%E +0.929%K +1.03%G +0.096% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +9.29%E +0.929%K +1.03%G +0.096% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +9.18%E +0.919%K +1.02%G +0.094% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.41%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +4.92%E +0.512%K +0.572%G +0.028% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.82%E +0.402%K +0.450%G +0.017% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +1.64%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +1.09%E +0.118%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +0.545%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -0.548%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.86%E -0.207%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.37%E -0.500%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.37%E -0.500%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -4.92%E -0.565%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.62I 11.60%NM 11.04%EV -5.79%E -0.672%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.96%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%EV -6.01%E -0.699%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 10.75%EV -6.56%E -0.767%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -8.20%E -0.976%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -9.84%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -9.84%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.67%EV -13.12%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.33%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -15.30%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.16I 13.97%NM 12.90%EV -21.75%E -3.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.10%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.50%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -23.50%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |