L’École des cotes

Kayla Day v Madison Keys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kayla Day (Local)

Prévision 10.93%9.15cote équitable
EV +9.29%
Avantage +0.929%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.42%11.06%10.95%13.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.518.5010.0014.29%11.75%11.76%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 89.07%1.12cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -32.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.63%88.94%89.05%90.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.28%94.34%91.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +9.29%E +0.929%K +1.03%G +0.096%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:10
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +9.29%E +0.929%K +1.03%G +0.096%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Pinnacle9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +9.18%E +0.919%K +1.02%G +0.094%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.41%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:10
ReBet9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +4.92%E +0.512%K +0.572%G +0.028%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:58
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.82%E +0.402%K +0.450%G +0.017%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Marathon Bet9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +1.64%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 10:09
NetBet (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +1.09%E +0.118%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:00
BetAnything9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +0.545%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:04
FanDuel9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -0.548%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 10:10
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:10
Coral9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:05
Neds9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:05
William Hill9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:09
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.86%E -0.207%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:04
Coolbet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.37%E -0.500%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.37%E -0.500%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:08
Fanatics8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -4.92%E -0.565%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:08
GTbets8.62I 11.60%NM 11.04%EV -5.79%E -0.672%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.96%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%EV -6.01%E -0.699%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Fliff8.55I 11.70%NM 10.75%EV -6.56%E -0.767%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 10:09
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:08
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:02
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Dabble (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:04
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Everygame8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:04
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
BetOnline.ag8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 10:09
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (FR)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -8.20%E -0.976%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:06
MyBookie.ag8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -9.84%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:08
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -9.84%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
betfred_uk8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:01
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson7.95I 12.58%NM 11.67%EV -13.12%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.33%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (DE)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -15.30%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:08
TAB7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet7.16I 13.97%NM 12.90%EV -21.75%E -3.04%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.10%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.50%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -23.50%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%2.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-06-30 10:10