A Escola das Odds

Kayla Day v Madison Keys

Início: 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kayla Day (Local)

Previsão 10.93%9.15odd justa
EV +9.29%
Vantagem +0.929%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescimento +0.096%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.42%11.06%10.95%13.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.008.518.5010.0014.29%11.75%11.76%10.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Previsão 89.07%1.12odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -2.67%
Kelly -32.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.63%88.94%89.05%90.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.28%94.34%91.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +9.29%E +0.929%K +1.03%G +0.096%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:10
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +9.29%E +0.929%K +1.03%G +0.096%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Pinnacle9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +9.18%E +0.919%K +1.02%G +0.094%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.41%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:10
ReBet9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +4.92%E +0.512%K +0.572%G +0.028%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:58
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.82%E +0.402%K +0.450%G +0.017%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Marathon Bet9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +1.64%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 10:09
NetBet (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +1.09%E +0.118%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:00
BetAnything9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +0.545%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:04
FanDuel9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -0.548%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 10:10
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:10
Coral9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:05
Neds9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:05
William Hill9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:09
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.86%E -0.207%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:04
Coolbet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.37%E -0.500%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.37%E -0.500%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:08
Fanatics8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -4.92%E -0.565%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 10:08
GTbets8.62I 11.60%NM 11.04%EV -5.79%E -0.672%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.96%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%EV -6.01%E -0.699%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Fliff8.55I 11.70%NM 10.75%EV -6.56%E -0.767%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 10:09
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:08
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:02
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Dabble (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:04
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Casumo8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Everygame8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:04
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
BetOnline.ag8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 10:09
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (FR)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -8.20%E -0.976%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:06
MyBookie.ag8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -9.84%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:08
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -9.84%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
betfred_uk8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:01
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson7.95I 12.58%NM 11.67%EV -13.12%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.33%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (DE)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -15.30%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:08
TAB7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet7.16I 13.97%NM 12.90%EV -21.75%E -3.04%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.10%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.50%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -23.50%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%2.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Matchbook12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-06-30 10:10