Idioma:Español
Kayla Day v Madison Keys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kayla Day (Local)
Predicción 10.93%9.15momio equitativo
EV +9.29%
Ventaja +0.929%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.096%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.42%11.06%10.95%13.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.008.518.5010.0014.29%11.75%11.76%10.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Madison Keys (Visitante)
Predicción 89.07%1.12momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -32.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.63%88.94%89.05%90.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.28%94.34%91.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kayla Day (Local): 10.93%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 89.07%. Para Kayla Day (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.15. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +9.29%E +0.929%K +1.03%G +0.096% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +9.29%E +0.929%K +1.03%G +0.096% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +9.18%E +0.919%K +1.02%G +0.094% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.41%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +4.92%E +0.512%K +0.572%G +0.028% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.82%E +0.402%K +0.450%G +0.017% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +1.64%E +0.176%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +1.09%E +0.118%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV +0.545%E +0.059%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -0.548%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -1.64%E -0.182%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.86%E -0.207%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.37%E -0.500%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.37%E -0.500%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -4.92%E -0.565%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.62I 11.60%NM 11.04%EV -5.79%E -0.672%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.96%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%EV -6.01%E -0.699%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%EV -2.91%E -2.67%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 10.75%EV -6.56%E -0.767%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.11%E -0.836%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -8.20%E -0.976%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -9.84%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -9.84%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.37%E -7.08%K -184.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.57%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.26%E -8.02%K -275.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.67%EV -13.12%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.33%EV -6.48%E -6.17%K -129.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -15.30%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.03%E -2.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.16I 13.97%NM 12.90%EV -21.75%E -3.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.10%EV -5.58%E -5.27%K -93.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.50%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.80%E -3.52%K -47.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -23.50%E -3.36%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.69%E -4.39%K -67.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |