Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Linda Noskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV +8.60%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +2.53%
Growth +0.217%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.57%25.69%24.63%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.703.713.754.4058.82%26.97%26.67%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Linda Noskova (Visit)
Prediction 75.32%1.33fair odd
EV +69.47%
Edge +30.87%
Kelly +55.57%
Growth +38.60%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%74.31%75.37%78.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.281.252.2584.03%78.18%80.00%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -58.04%E -34.14%K -82.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +69.47%E +30.87%K +55.57%G +38.60% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -34.35%E -12.91%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV +14.48%E +9.53%K +27.85%G +4.03% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 15:55 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +2.43%E +1.79%K +6.76%G +0.164% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 15:56 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -23.49%E -7.58%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV +1.68%E +1.24%K +4.80%G +0.081% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.173%E +0.130%K +0.526%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.173%E +0.130%K +0.526%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.09%E -1.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.09%E -1.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.59%E -2.81%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -1.52%E -0.381%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 15:58 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 15:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.61%E -5.33%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Fliff | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.66%E +0.872%K +1.14%G +0.042% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 15:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -11.64%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-11 15:58 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +8.60%E +1.95%K +2.53%G +0.217% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.86%E -7.33%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.62%E -8.01%K -48.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -10.37%E -8.72%K -54.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.42I 41.32%NM 34.77% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 65.23% | 18.8% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 56.71% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 43.29% | 76.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |