A Escola das Odds

Karolina Muchova v Linda Noskova

Início: 2026-07-11 16:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 24.68%4.05odd justa
EV +8.60%
Vantagem +1.95%
Kelly +2.53%
Crescimento +0.217%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.57%25.69%24.63%56.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.703.713.754.4058.82%26.97%26.67%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Linda Noskova (Visitante)

Previsão 75.32%1.33odd justa
EV +69.47%
Vantagem +30.87%
Kelly +55.57%
Crescimento +38.60%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.04%74.31%75.37%78.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.191.281.252.2584.03%78.18%80.00%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -58.04%E -34.14%K -82.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +69.47%E +30.87%K +55.57%G +38.60%3.3%2026-07-11 15:25
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -34.35%E -12.91%K -20.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV +14.48%E +9.53%K +27.85%G +4.03%3.4%2026-07-11 15:55
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +2.43%E +1.79%K +6.76%G +0.164%4.3%2026-07-11 15:56
MyBookie.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -23.49%E -7.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV +1.68%E +1.24%K +4.80%G +0.081%6.3%2026-07-11 15:59
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.173%E +0.130%K +0.526%G +0.001%6.0%2026-07-11 16:00
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.173%E +0.130%K +0.526%G +0.001%6.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.09%E -1.60%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 16:00
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.09%E -1.60%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 16:00
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 16:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 16:00
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.59%E -2.81%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 16:00
DraftKings3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -1.52%E -0.381%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 15:59
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 15:59
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:58
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 15:58
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 15:59
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 15:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.61%E -5.33%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:59
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 15:59
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 16:00
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.66%E +0.872%K +1.14%G +0.042%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 15:59
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:59
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:59
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 15:58
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Betclic (FR)3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -11.64%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 15:58
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +8.60%E +1.95%K +2.53%G +0.217%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.86%E -7.33%K -42.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 15:59
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.62%E -8.01%K -48.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 15:59
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -10.37%E -8.72%K -54.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-07-11 16:00
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%0.3%2026-07-11 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-07-11 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-07-11 16:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%3.1%2026-07-11 16:00
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 34.77%1.29I 77.52%NM 65.23%18.8%2026-07-11 16:00
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 56.71%1.31I 76.34%NM 43.29%76.3%2026-07-11 16:00