La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karolina Muchova v Linda Noskova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Predicción 24.68%4.05momio equitativo
EV +8.60%
Ventaja +1.95%
Kelly +2.53%
Crecimiento +0.217%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.57%25.69%24.63%56.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.703.713.754.4058.82%26.97%26.67%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Linda Noskova (Visitante)
Predicción 75.32%1.33momio equitativo
EV +69.47%
Ventaja +30.87%
Kelly +55.57%
Crecimiento +38.60%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.04%74.31%75.37%78.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.281.252.2584.03%78.18%80.00%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -58.04%E -34.14%K -82.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +69.47%E +30.87%K +55.57%G +38.60% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -34.35%E -12.91%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV +14.48%E +9.53%K +27.85%G +4.03% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 15:55 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +2.43%E +1.79%K +6.76%G +0.164% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 15:56 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -23.49%E -7.58%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV +1.68%E +1.24%K +4.80%G +0.081% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.173%E +0.130%K +0.526%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.173%E +0.130%K +0.526%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.09%E -1.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.09%E -1.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.59%E -2.81%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -1.52%E -0.381%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 15:58 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 15:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.61%E -5.33%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Fliff | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.66%E +0.872%K +1.14%G +0.042% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 15:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -11.64%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-11 15:58 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +8.60%E +1.95%K +2.53%G +0.217% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.86%E -7.33%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.62%E -8.01%K -48.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -10.37%E -8.72%K -54.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.42I 41.32%NM 34.77% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 65.23% | 18.8% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 56.71% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 43.29% | 76.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |