The School of Odds

Karolina Muchova v Linda Noskova

Matchstart: 2026-07-11 16:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Hemma)

Prognos 24.68%4.05rättvist odds
EV +8.60%
Fördel +1.95%
Kelly +2.53%
Tillväxt +0.217%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.57%25.69%24.63%56.96%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.703.713.754.4058.82%26.97%26.67%22.73%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Linda Noskova (Borta)

Prognos 75.32%1.33rättvist odds
EV +69.47%
Fördel +30.87%
Kelly +55.57%
Tillväxt +38.60%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.04%74.31%75.37%78.43%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.191.281.252.2584.03%78.18%80.00%44.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -58.04%E -34.14%K -82.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +69.47%E +30.87%K +55.57%G +38.60%3.3%2026-07-11 15:25
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -34.35%E -12.91%K -20.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV +14.48%E +9.53%K +27.85%G +4.03%3.4%2026-07-11 15:55
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV +2.43%E +1.79%K +6.76%G +0.164%4.3%2026-07-11 15:56
MyBookie.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -23.49%E -7.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV +1.68%E +1.24%K +4.80%G +0.081%6.3%2026-07-11 15:59
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.173%E +0.130%K +0.526%G +0.001%6.0%2026-07-11 16:00
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -19.78%E -6.09%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.173%E +0.130%K +0.526%G +0.001%6.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.09%E -1.60%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 16:00
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.09%E -1.60%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 16:00
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 16:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.84%E -2.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 16:00
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.59%E -2.81%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 16:00
DraftKings3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -1.52%E -0.381%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 15:59
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Bally Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.10%E -4.05%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 15:59
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:58
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 15:58
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 15:59
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 15:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.85%E -4.68%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.61%E -5.33%K -27.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:59
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 15:59
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.36%E -5.98%K -31.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 16:00
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +3.66%E +0.872%K +1.14%G +0.042%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 15:59
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.27%E -0.318%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 15:59
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:59
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:59
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 15:58
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Betclic (FR)3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -11.64%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.11%E -6.65%K -36.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 15:58
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +8.60%E +1.95%K +2.53%G +0.217%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.86%E -7.33%K -42.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 15:59
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.62%E -8.01%K -48.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 15:59
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -10.37%E -8.72%K -54.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 15:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-07-11 16:00
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%0.3%2026-07-11 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-07-11 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-07-11 16:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%3.1%2026-07-11 16:00
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 34.77%1.29I 77.52%NM 65.23%18.8%2026-07-11 16:00
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 56.71%1.31I 76.34%NM 43.29%76.3%2026-07-11 16:00