Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jelena Ostapenko v Antonia Ruzic

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 10:14 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Prediction 75.77%1.32fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%75.84%75.82%78.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.3081.97%79.87%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Antonia Ruzic (Visit)

Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 4.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%24.16%24.18%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.933.904.3427.78%25.47%25.64%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jelena Ostapenko (Local): 75.77%; Antonia Ruzic (Visit): 24.23%. For Antonia Ruzic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +5.15%E +1.19%K +1.54%G +0.080%4.3%2026-07-01 09:59
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +4.91%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.072%5.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.58%EV +4.67%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%2.5%2026-07-01 09:40
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.18%E +0.973%K +1.27%G +0.053%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010%5.8%2026-07-01 10:00
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:00
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -1.87%E -0.462%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 03:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 09:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 08:39
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:00
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:19
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.30%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -1.50%E -1.15%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 01:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:30
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:20
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:50
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 09:09
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:39
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 18:48
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 19:01
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 08:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 08:19
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 22:59
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 00:49
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 08:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.01%E -2.35%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:59
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.01%E -2.35%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-07-01 09:50
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-07-01 09:40