La escuela de los momios

Jelena Ostapenko v Antonia Ruzic

Inicio: 2026-07-01 10:14 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Predicción 75.77%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -4.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.23%75.84%75.82%78.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.251.251.3081.97%79.87%80.00%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Antonia Ruzic (Visitante)

Predicción 24.23%4.13momio equitativo
EV +5.15%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.54%
Crecimiento +0.080%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.98%24.16%24.18%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.933.904.3427.78%25.47%25.64%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +5.15%E +1.19%K +1.54%G +0.080%4.3%2026-07-01 09:59
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +4.91%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.072%5.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.58%EV +4.67%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%2.5%2026-07-01 09:40
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.18%E +0.973%K +1.27%G +0.053%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010%5.8%2026-07-01 10:00
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:00
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -1.87%E -0.462%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 03:09
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 09:09
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 08:39
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:39
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:39
PointsBet (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:19
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.30%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -1.50%E -1.15%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 01:09
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:30
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:20
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:50
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 08:40
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 09:09
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:39
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 18:48
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 08:40
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 19:01
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 08:39
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 08:20
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 08:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 22:59
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 00:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 08:59
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.01%E -2.35%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:59
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.01%E -2.35%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 23:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-07-01 09:50
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-07-01 09:40