La scuola delle quote

Jelena Ostapenko v Antonia Ruzic

Inizio: 2026-07-01 10:14 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Casa)

Previsione 75.77%1.32quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -4.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.23%75.84%75.82%78.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.251.251.3081.97%79.87%80.00%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Antonia Ruzic (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.23%4.13quota equa
EV +5.15%
Vantaggio +1.19%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescita +0.080%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.98%24.16%24.18%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.933.904.3427.78%25.47%25.64%23.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV +5.15%E +1.19%K +1.54%G +0.080%4.3%2026-07-01 09:59
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +4.91%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.072%5.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.58%EV +4.67%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%2.5%2026-07-01 09:40
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.18%E +0.973%K +1.27%G +0.053%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010%4.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.76%E +0.419%K +0.550%G +0.010%5.8%2026-07-01 10:00
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:00
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.662%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 09:59
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -1.87%E -0.462%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 03:09
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 10:00
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 09:09
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 08:39
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:39
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 08:59
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:39
PointsBet (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.80%E -5.53%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 09:19
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.56%E -6.20%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.30%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -1.50%E -1.15%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 01:09
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:30
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:20
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:10
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:50
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 08:40
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 09:09
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.72%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 08:39
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 18:48
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.53%E -3.59%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 08:40
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 19:01
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 08:39
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 08:20
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 08:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 22:59
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 00:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 08:59
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.04%E -4.87%K -25.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.01%E -2.35%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 08:59
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.01%E -2.35%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 09:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.77%E -2.97%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 09:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.29%E -4.23%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 23:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-07-01 09:50
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.3%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-07-01 09:40