Language:English
Francesca Jones v Diane Parry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francesca Jones (Local)
Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV +3.63%
Edge +0.908%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%25.94%25.85%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.604.0030.77%27.99%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diane Parry (Visit)
Prediction 74.09%1.35fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -6.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.90%74.06%74.15%75.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.291.3280.65%77.95%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francesca Jones (Local): 25.91%; Diane Parry (Visit): 74.09%. For Francesca Jones (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.63%E +0.908%K +1.21%G +0.044% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.33%E +0.591%K +0.792%G +0.018% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV +1.04%E +0.267%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -2.94%E -2.24%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-29 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.04%E +0.267%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV +0.521%E +0.134%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -2.07%E -0.547%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 18:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 17:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.13%E -6.55%K -33.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.58%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.20%E -1.67%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.94%E -2.24%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 17:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-29 18:07 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -15.80%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -15.80%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-06-29 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 18:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 17:51 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 18:10 |