L’École des cotes

Francesca Jones v Diane Parry

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 18:18 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Francesca Jones (Local)

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV +3.63%
Avantage +0.908%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.10%25.94%25.85%28.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.573.604.0030.77%27.99%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diane Parry (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.09%1.35cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -6.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.90%74.06%74.15%75.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.281.291.3280.65%77.95%77.52%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.63%E +0.908%K +1.21%G +0.044%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.33%E +0.591%K +0.792%G +0.018%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 18:10
1xBet3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV +1.04%E +0.267%K +0.358%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -2.94%E -2.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-29 17:39
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.04%E +0.267%K +0.358%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Pinnacle3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV +0.521%E +0.134%K +0.181%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
SportsBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -2.07%E -0.547%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 18:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:41
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 18:10
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:09
MyBookie.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 18:10
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 18:10
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:10
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 18:11
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:41
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:11
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:30
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:39
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:11
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:10
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:48
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.13%E -6.55%K -33.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 18:11
NordicBet3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.58%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 18:11
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.20%E -1.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.94%E -2.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 17:39
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 18:07
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:11
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -15.80%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -15.80%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 18:10
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-06-29 17:50
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%2.5%2026-06-29 17:51
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%3.0%2026-06-29 18:10