La escuela de los momios

Francesca Jones v Diane Parry

Inicio: 2026-06-29 18:18 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Francesca Jones (Local)

Predicción 25.91%3.86momio equitativo
EV +3.63%
Ventaja +0.908%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.044%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.10%25.94%25.85%28.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.573.604.0030.77%27.99%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diane Parry (Visitante)

Predicción 74.09%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -6.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.90%74.06%74.15%75.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.291.3280.65%77.95%77.52%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.63%E +0.908%K +1.21%G +0.044%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.33%E +0.591%K +0.792%G +0.018%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 18:10
1xBet3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV +1.04%E +0.267%K +0.358%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -2.94%E -2.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-29 17:39
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.04%E +0.267%K +0.358%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Pinnacle3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV +0.521%E +0.134%K +0.181%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
SportsBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -2.07%E -0.547%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 18:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:41
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 18:10
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:09
MyBookie.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 18:10
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 18:10
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:10
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 18:11
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:41
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:11
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:30
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:39
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:11
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:10
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:48
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.13%E -6.55%K -33.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 18:11
NordicBet3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.58%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 18:11
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.20%E -1.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.94%E -2.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 17:39
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 18:07
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:11
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -15.80%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -15.80%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 18:10
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-06-29 17:50
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%2.5%2026-06-29 17:51
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%3.0%2026-06-29 18:10