مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francesca Jones v Diane Parry

البداية: 2026-06-29 18:18 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francesca Jones (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.91%3.86السعر العادل
EV +3.63%
الأفضلية +0.908%
Kelly +1.21%
النمو +0.044%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.10%25.94%25.85%28.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.573.604.0030.77%27.99%27.78%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Diane Parry (الضيف)

التنبؤ 74.09%1.35السعر العادل
EV -2.20%
الأفضلية -1.67%
Kelly -6.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.90%74.06%74.15%75.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.241.281.291.3280.65%77.95%77.52%75.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.63%E +0.908%K +1.21%G +0.044%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +2.33%E +0.591%K +0.792%G +0.018%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 18:10
1xBet3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV +1.04%E +0.267%K +0.358%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -2.94%E -2.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-29 17:39
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.04%E +0.267%K +0.358%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Pinnacle3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV +0.521%E +0.134%K +0.181%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.55%E -0.408%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
SportsBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -2.07%E -0.547%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 18:09
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:41
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 18:10
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.11%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:09
MyBookie.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 18:10
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 18:10
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:10
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.38%E -5.91%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 18:11
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:41
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:11
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:30
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:39
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:11
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:10
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.16%E -4.03%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:48
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.13%E -6.55%K -33.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 18:11
NordicBet3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -9.58%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 18:11
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.20%E -1.67%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.94%E -2.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 17:39
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.64%E -5.27%K -25.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 18:07
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:11
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -14.50%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.42%E -3.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -15.80%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -15.80%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -5.90%E -4.65%K -21.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 18:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 18:10
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-06-29 17:50
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%2.5%2026-06-29 17:51
Novig3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%3.0%2026-06-29 18:10