Language:English
Emma Navarro v Paula Badosa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emma Navarro (Local)
Prediction 61.88%1.62fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +4.97%
Growth +0.166%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.77%61.99%62.09%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.561.561.6769.93%64.16%64.10%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paula Badosa (Visit)
Prediction 38.12%2.62fair odd
EV +4.84%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +2.77%
Growth +0.134%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%38.01%37.91%43.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.382.402.7547.17%41.97%41.67%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 61.88%; Paula Badosa (Visit): 38.12%. For Paula Badosa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.33%E +2.00%K +4.97%G +0.166% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -14.22%E -6.32%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -18.03%E -8.39%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -18.03%E -8.39%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +0.238%E +0.147%K +0.384%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -0.381%E -0.236%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -0.381%E -0.236%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -19.18%E -9.05%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 14:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -19.18%E -9.05%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.62%E -1.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.24%E -1.42%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:32 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.54%E -1.40%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -13.08%E -5.74%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.114%E -0.043%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -1.26%E -0.485%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -9.04%E -6.15%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -5.07%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.66%E -6.62%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.66%E -6.62%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.90%E -7.57%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.94%E +1.09%K +1.73%G +0.051% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -11.52%E -8.05%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |