A Escola das Odds

Emma Navarro v Paula Badosa

Início: 2026-06-30 14:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Previsão 61.88%1.62odd justa
EV +3.33%
Vantagem +2.00%
Kelly +4.97%
Crescimento +0.166%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.77%61.99%62.09%65.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.431.561.561.6769.93%64.16%64.10%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Paula Badosa (Visitante)

Previsão 38.12%2.62odd justa
EV +4.84%
Vantagem +1.76%
Kelly +2.77%
Crescimento +0.134%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%38.01%37.91%43.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.122.382.402.7547.17%41.97%41.67%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.33%E +2.00%K +4.97%G +0.166%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 14:39
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 14:39
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -14.22%E -6.32%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:38
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -18.03%E -8.39%K -15.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -18.03%E -8.39%K -15.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:39
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +0.238%E +0.147%K +0.384%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -0.381%E -0.236%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:40
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -0.381%E -0.236%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -19.18%E -9.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:39
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 14:33
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 14:09
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -19.18%E -9.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 14:39
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.62%E -1.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:10
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.24%E -1.42%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:30
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:10
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:30
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:32
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:34
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 14:40
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.54%E -1.40%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 14:40
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:09
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -13.08%E -5.74%K -10.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:30
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:38
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:33
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:38
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 14:38
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.114%E -0.043%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:39
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 14:40
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -1.26%E -0.485%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:39
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 14:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -9.04%E -6.15%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -5.07%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.66%E -6.62%K -21.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.66%E -6.62%K -21.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134%5.3%2026-06-30 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134%5.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134%5.3%2026-06-30 14:40
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.90%E -7.57%K -24.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.94%E +1.09%K +1.73%G +0.051%6.5%2026-06-30 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -11.52%E -8.05%K -26.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-30 14:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-06-30 14:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-06-30 14:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%5.6%2026-06-30 14:40