La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Emma Navarro v Paula Badosa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Emma Navarro (Local)
Predicción 61.88%1.62momio equitativo
EV +3.33%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +4.97%
Crecimiento +0.166%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.77%61.99%62.09%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.561.6769.93%64.16%64.10%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Paula Badosa (Visitante)
Predicción 38.12%2.62momio equitativo
EV +4.84%
Ventaja +1.76%
Kelly +2.77%
Crecimiento +0.134%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%38.01%37.91%43.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.382.402.7547.17%41.97%41.67%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.33%E +2.00%K +4.97%G +0.166% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -14.22%E -6.32%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -18.03%E -8.39%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -18.03%E -8.39%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +0.238%E +0.147%K +0.384%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -0.381%E -0.236%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -0.381%E -0.236%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -19.18%E -9.05%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 14:33 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -19.18%E -9.05%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.62%E -1.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.24%E -1.42%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:32 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:34 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.54%E -1.40%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -13.08%E -5.74%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 14:38 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.114%E -0.043%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -1.26%E -0.485%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -9.04%E -6.15%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -5.07%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.66%E -6.62%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.66%E -6.62%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.90%E -7.57%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.94%E +1.09%K +1.73%G +0.051% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -11.52%E -8.05%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-30 14:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Novig | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |