L’École des cotes

Emma Navarro v Paula Badosa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 14:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prévision 61.88%1.62cote équitable
EV +3.33%
Avantage +2.00%
Kelly +4.97%
Croissance +0.166%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.77%61.99%62.09%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.561.561.6769.93%64.16%64.10%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Paula Badosa (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.12%2.62cote équitable
EV +4.84%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +2.77%
Croissance +0.134%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%38.01%37.91%43.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.382.402.7547.17%41.97%41.67%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.33%E +2.00%K +4.97%G +0.166%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV +2.71%E +1.63%K +4.11%G +0.112%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -16.89%E -7.75%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:39
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 14:39
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV +1.48%E +0.900%K +2.31%G +0.034%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -17.65%E -8.17%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 14:39
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -14.22%E -6.32%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:38
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -18.03%E -8.39%K -15.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV +0.857%E +0.526%K +1.36%G +0.012%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -18.03%E -8.39%K -15.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:39
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +0.238%E +0.147%K +0.384%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -0.381%E -0.236%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:40
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -0.381%E -0.236%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -19.18%E -9.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:39
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 14:33
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 14:09
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -0.999%E -0.625%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -19.18%E -9.05%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 14:39
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.62%E -1.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:10
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.24%E -1.42%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:30
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:10
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:30
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:32
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:34
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -2.86%E -1.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 14:40
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.54%E -1.40%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 14:40
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:09
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -3.47%E -2.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -13.08%E -5.74%K -10.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:30
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:38
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:33
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 14:39
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:38
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:09
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 14:39
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 14:38
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.114%E -0.043%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:39
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:39
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 14:40
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -1.26%E -0.485%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:39
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 14:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -9.04%E -6.15%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -5.07%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 14:39
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.66%E -6.62%K -21.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.66%E -6.62%K -21.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134%5.3%2026-06-30 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134%5.3%2026-06-30 14:39
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.28%E -7.09%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.84%E +1.76%K +2.77%G +0.134%5.3%2026-06-30 14:40
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -10.90%E -7.57%K -24.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +2.94%E +1.09%K +1.73%G +0.051%6.5%2026-06-30 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -11.52%E -8.05%K -26.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-30 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-06-30 14:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-06-30 14:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-06-30 14:40
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%5.6%2026-06-30 14:40