Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li v Zeynep Sonmez

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

49%

51%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li (Local)

Prediction 48.88%2.05fair odd

EV +17.32%

Edge +7.22%

Kelly +12.37%

Growth +2.14%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.78%48.26%49.73%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.782.012.002.4056.18%49.65%50.00%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zeynep Sonmez (Visit)

Prediction 51.12%1.96fair odd

EV -0.320%

Edge -0.164%

Kelly -0.337%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.41%51.74%50.27%61.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.521.771.751.9565.79%56.54%57.14%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 48.88%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visit): 51.12%. For Ann Li (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 27 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
TAB🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +17.32%E +7.22%K +12.37%G +2.14%	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -22.30%E -14.67%K -42.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-29 12:01
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +10.96%E +4.83%K +8.63%G +0.946%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-06-29 11:55
1xBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +9.99%E +4.44%K +7.99%G +0.798%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-06-29 11:53
Pinnacle🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -12.59%E -7.36%K -17.73%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-29 11:55
BetUS🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 11:59
betfred_uk🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 11:53
SportsBet🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV +7.05%E +3.22%K +5.93%G +0.418%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-29 11:58
Bovada🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -12.59%E -7.36%K -17.73%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-29 11:53
Marathon Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 11:57
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.61%E -8.05%K -19.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-29 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.61%E -8.05%K -19.73%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-29 11:53
PlayUp🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 11:53
Neds🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 11:54
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -15.66%E -9.49%K -24.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-29 11:49
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-29 12:00
William Hill🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 12:01
Everygame🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-29 11:56
GTbets🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV +2.16%E +1.04%K +1.99%G +0.043%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 11:49
BetRivers🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.68%E +0.805%K +1.55%G +0.026%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-29 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 12:00
Casumo🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 12:00
FanDuel🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 12:00
Caesars🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-29 11:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-29 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -0.769%E -0.379%K -0.747%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-29 11:59
LeoVegas🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -1.26%E -0.623%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-06-29 12:00
NordicBet🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -1.75%E -0.869%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-29 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-29 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-29 12:01
Svenska Spel🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-29 12:01
betPARX🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-29 12:00
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-29 12:00
Grosvenor🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-29 12:00
TABtouch🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-29 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-29 12:01
Virgin Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -4.19%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-29 12:01
Bally Bet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -4.19%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-29 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.08%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-29 12:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-29 12:01
Paddy Power🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
Sky Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
Coolbet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-29 12:01
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-29 12:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.34%E -0.696%K -1.44%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-29 12:01
Fliff🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.59%E -4.59%K -9.87%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.37%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-29 12:00
Betway🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.97%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -4.92%E -2.65%K -5.72%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-29 12:01
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
Bet Victor🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 12:00
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 12:01
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 12:01
BetMGM🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 12:01
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 12:00
Betsson🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -12.99%E -7.30%K -16.65%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -6.97%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-29 12:01

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Matchbook◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	0.4%	2026-06-29 12:01
Smarkets◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%	0.9%	2026-06-29 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%	0.9%	2026-06-29 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%	0.9%	2026-06-29 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%	1.5%	2026-06-29 12:01
ProphetX◎	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%	2.6%	2026-06-29 12:01
Novig◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%	6.7%	2026-06-29 12:00