مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ann Li v Zeynep Sonmez

البداية: 2026-06-29 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ann Li (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.88%2.05السعر العادل
EV +17.32%
الأفضلية +7.22%
Kelly +12.37%
النمو +2.14%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.78%48.26%49.73%51.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.782.012.002.4056.18%49.65%50.00%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zeynep Sonmez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.12%1.96السعر العادل
EV -0.320%
الأفضلية -0.164%
Kelly -0.337%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.41%51.74%50.27%61.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.771.751.9565.79%56.54%57.14%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +17.32%E +7.22%K +12.37%G +2.14%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -22.30%E -14.67%K -42.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 12:01
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +10.96%E +4.83%K +8.63%G +0.946%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 11:55
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +9.99%E +4.44%K +7.99%G +0.798%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-29 11:53
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -12.59%E -7.36%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:59
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:53
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV +7.05%E +3.22%K +5.93%G +0.418%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:58
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -12.59%E -7.36%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:53
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:57
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.61%E -8.05%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.61%E -8.05%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:53
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:53
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:54
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -15.66%E -9.49%K -24.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:49
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 12:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 11:56
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV +2.16%E +1.04%K +1.99%G +0.043%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:49
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.68%E +0.805%K +1.55%G +0.026%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:50
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:00
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:55
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -0.769%E -0.379%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 11:59
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -1.26%E -0.623%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 12:00
NordicBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -1.75%E -0.869%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 11:59
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:01
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:01
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:00
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:01
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -4.19%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:01
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -4.19%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-29 12:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:01
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:01
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:01
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.34%E -0.696%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 12:01
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.59%E -4.59%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -4.92%E -2.65%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 12:01
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:01
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:01
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:01
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -12.99%E -7.30%K -16.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -6.97%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-29 12:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-29 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-06-29 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-06-29 12:01
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-06-29 12:01
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%6.7%2026-06-29 12:00