A Escola das Odds

Ann Li v Zeynep Sonmez

Início: 2026-06-29 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ann Li (Local)

Previsão 48.88%2.05odd justa
EV +17.32%
Vantagem +7.22%
Kelly +12.37%
Crescimento +2.14%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.78%48.26%49.73%51.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.782.012.002.4056.18%49.65%50.00%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante)

Previsão 51.12%1.96odd justa
EV -0.320%
Vantagem -0.164%
Kelly -0.337%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%51.74%50.27%61.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.771.751.9565.79%56.54%57.14%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +17.32%E +7.22%K +12.37%G +2.14%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -22.30%E -14.67%K -42.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 12:01
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +10.96%E +4.83%K +8.63%G +0.946%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 11:55
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +9.99%E +4.44%K +7.99%G +0.798%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-29 11:53
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -12.59%E -7.36%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:59
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:53
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV +7.05%E +3.22%K +5.93%G +0.418%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:58
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -12.59%E -7.36%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:53
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:57
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.61%E -8.05%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.61%E -8.05%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:53
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:53
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:54
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -15.66%E -9.49%K -24.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:49
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 12:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 11:56
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV +2.16%E +1.04%K +1.99%G +0.043%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:49
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.68%E +0.805%K +1.55%G +0.026%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 11:50
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:00
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:55
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -0.769%E -0.379%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 11:59
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -1.26%E -0.623%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 12:00
NordicBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -1.75%E -0.869%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 11:59
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:01
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:01
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 12:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 12:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:00
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:01
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -4.19%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:01
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -4.19%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-29 12:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 12:01
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 12:01
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 12:01
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.34%E -0.696%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 12:01
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.59%E -4.59%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -4.92%E -2.65%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 12:01
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:01
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:01
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:01
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 12:00
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -12.99%E -7.30%K -16.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -6.97%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-29 12:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-29 12:01
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-29 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-29 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-06-29 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-06-29 12:01
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-06-29 12:01
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%6.7%2026-06-29 12:00