La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ann Li v Zeynep Sonmez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ann Li (Local)
Predicción 48.88%2.05momio equitativo
EV +17.32%
Ventaja +7.22%
Kelly +12.37%
Crecimiento +2.14%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.78%48.26%49.73%51.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.782.012.002.4056.18%49.65%50.00%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante)
Predicción 51.12%1.96momio equitativo
EV -0.320%
Ventaja -0.164%
Kelly -0.337%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%51.74%50.27%61.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.771.751.9565.79%56.54%57.14%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +17.32%E +7.22%K +12.37%G +2.14% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -22.30%E -14.67%K -42.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +10.96%E +4.83%K +8.63%G +0.946% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +9.99%E +4.44%K +7.99%G +0.798% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 11:53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -12.59%E -7.36%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 11:55 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +7.54%E +3.43%K +6.28%G +0.474% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:53 |
| SportsBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV +7.05%E +3.22%K +5.93%G +0.418% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:58 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -12.59%E -7.36%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 11:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:57 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.61%E -8.05%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -13.61%E -8.05%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:53 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:53 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -14.12%E -8.41%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +5.10%E +2.37%K +4.43%G +0.226% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -15.66%E -9.49%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +2.65%E +1.26%K +2.41%G +0.064% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 11:56 |
| GTbets | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV +2.16%E +1.04%K +1.99%G +0.043% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +1.68%E +0.805%K +1.55%G +0.026% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV +1.19%E +0.573%K +1.11%G +0.013% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 11:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.209%E +0.102%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.06%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -0.769%E -0.379%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -14.63%E -8.76%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -1.26%E -0.623%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -13.10%E -7.71%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -1.75%E -0.869%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.57%E -6.69%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.70%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -4.19%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -4.19%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -10.54%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -12.08%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.34%E -0.696%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.59%E -4.59%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -4.92%E -2.65%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.320%E -0.164%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -12.99%E -7.30%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -6.97%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| ProphetX | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 12:01 |
| Novig | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 12:00 |