Language:English
Amanda Anisimova v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Amanda Anisimova (Local)
Prediction 39.78%2.51fair odd
EV +4.63%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +2.84%
Growth +0.132%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%39.77%39.85%43.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.412.402.6347.62%41.43%41.67%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 60.22%1.66fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.67%60.23%60.15%64.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.551.561.6969.93%64.60%64.10%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Amanda Anisimova (Local): 39.78%; Madison Keys (Visit): 60.22%. For Amanda Anisimova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.48%E -7.81%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.48%E -7.81%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -12.08%E -8.28%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -13.89%E -9.71%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.13%E -0.866%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 15:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.07%E -6.01%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.71%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -12.08%E -5.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.56%G +0.045% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -14.46%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 15:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -16.45%E -7.83%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |