L’École des cotes

Amanda Anisimova v Madison Keys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 15:24 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Amanda Anisimova (Local)

Prévision 39.78%2.51cote équitable
EV +4.63%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +2.84%
Croissance +0.132%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.80%39.77%39.85%43.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.412.402.6347.62%41.43%41.67%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.22%1.66cote équitable
EV +1.76%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +2.56%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.67%60.23%60.15%64.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.551.561.6969.93%64.60%64.10%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.48%E -7.81%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.48%E -7.81%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 15:20
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -12.08%E -8.28%K -26.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:20
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 15:20
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:20
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -13.89%E -9.71%K -32.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 15:20
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.13%E -0.866%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 15:15
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 15:05
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 15:20
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 15:00
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 15:00
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 15:20
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 15:09
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:00
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:20
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.07%E -6.01%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 15:20
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:00
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 15:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 15:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.71%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 15:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:00
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 15:00
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 15:04
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:20
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:20
DraftKings2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 15:00
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 15:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 15:20
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -12.08%E -5.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.56%G +0.045%4.4%2026-07-04 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -14.46%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 15:18
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -16.45%E -7.83%K -14.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-07-04 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-07-04 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-04 15:20
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-07-04 15:20
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-07-04 15:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-07-04 15:20
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%3.1%2026-07-04 15:20