La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Amanda Anisimova v Madison Keys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Amanda Anisimova (Local)
Predicción 39.78%2.51momio equitativo
EV +4.63%
Ventaja +1.76%
Kelly +2.84%
Crecimiento +0.132%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.80%39.77%39.85%43.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.412.402.6347.62%41.43%41.67%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Madison Keys (Visitante)
Predicción 60.22%1.66momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +2.56%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.67%60.23%60.15%64.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.551.561.6969.93%64.60%64.10%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +4.63%E +1.76%K +2.84%G +0.132% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.48%E -7.81%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.48%E -7.81%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -12.08%E -8.28%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +3.44%E +1.32%K +2.15%G +0.074% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -12.69%E -8.75%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV +1.45%E +0.568%K +0.935%G +0.014% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -13.89%E -9.71%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.540%E -0.216%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.13%E -0.866%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 15:15 |
| BetAnything | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| ReBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.32%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.72%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 15:09 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -9.07%E -6.01%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| GTbets | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.92%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.06%E -3.89%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.31%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.71%E -2.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.67%E -4.30%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.86%E -3.08%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betsson | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.70%E -3.32%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:15 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.50%E -3.69%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -12.08%E -5.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV +1.76%E +1.04%K +2.56%G +0.045% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -14.46%E -6.73%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 15:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -16.45%E -7.83%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -7.27%E -4.72%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| ProphetX | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Novig | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |